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Summary
The evolutionary theory is usualy regarded as making a claim to the deterministic prediction answering the questions: what will occur under the given environmental influences, how this will occur and when? This claim seems to be far from reality when we are taking into account the complexity of the relationships between the organisms and their environment, as well as the probability of the evolutionary process itself. However, as for as selective vector exerts an effect if (and only if) the adaptation of the organisms progresses, it is possible to make use of the extrapolation. Even provided that we are ignorant in some environmental parameters, as well as in some peculiarities of the organization (and ontogenesis) influencing the direction of evolution, yet there is a possibility to distinguish among them the most effective agencies providing the basis for the prediction of the direction and even the rates of evolution. Remind that such a prediction presents the essantial body of the artificial selection. This prediction fits the study of the phenotypes and their reactions, rather then the study of the genotypic variability. This viewpoint is based on the impossibility to estimate the selective advantage even for the Mendelian allele, not, to mention the polygenic characters.
